Brighton have done it again. Days after selling Carlos Baleba to Manchester United for a reported £70m, they signed José María "Chema" Andrés Baixauli from VfB Stuttgart for around £22m — a 21-year-old, ex-Real Madrid Spain U21 international bought for less than a third of what they banked. The composite model likes the new man a lot. It also raises an awkward question for United: they paid £70m for the player Brighton sold, while the £22m player Brighton bought grades higher — and is the closer fit to the Casemiro archetype United actually needed.
Brighton's model, again: sell high, buy higher-graded low
The Brighton recruitment machine rarely misses this trick. They developed Baleba into a £70m asset, cashed in with United, and reinvested a slice into a younger player the model rates more highly. Stuttgart paid Real Madrid roughly €3m for Chema a year ago; Brighton have paid around £22m now, and Real even take half the fee on a sell-on. Everyone profits — except, perhaps, the club that paid the £70m.
One honest nuance first: this is not a like-for-like Baleba replacement. Baleba is a Box-to-Box; Chema is an Anchor 6 — a deeper, more defensive profile. Brighton haven't replaced Baleba's carrying and forward surges; they've bought a different, more stationary screen. On the numbers, that screen grades higher.
| Player | S52 | Defensive | Goal Threat | Passing | Ball Carry | Work Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chema Andrés Anchor 6 · Brighton (£22m) · 21 | 6.9 | 5.6 | 5.7 | 8.5 | 2.8 | 8.7 |
| Carlos Baleba Box-to-Box · Man Utd (£70m) · 22 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 7.5 | 3.8 | 8.7 |
| Casemiro Anchor 6 · left Man Utd · 34 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 6.8 | 8.8 | 2.2 | 9.3 |
| Moisés Caicedo Anchor 6 · Chelsea · 24 | 7.1 | 5.2 | 4.1 | 8.6 | 3.8 | 9.5 |
Green = column best, red = column lowest. All four benchmarked as midfielders. Baleba, the £70m sale, grades lowest of the group on five of six composites — the exception is ball-carrying, his actual strength.
Chema grades higher than Baleba on S52 (6.9 vs 6.3) and on four of the six composites — an elite defensive contribution (5.6, top 10% of his age band, versus 4.4), far more goal threat (5.7 vs 0.7), and cleaner passing (8.5 vs 7.5). His defensive number even edges the departed Casemiro's. Baleba's clear win is ball-carrying (3.8 vs 2.8), which is the honest counterweight: his value is progression and mobility, not the stationary anchor's job.
The United question — and the physical case
Here is where it stings for Manchester United. They lost Casemiro (an Anchor 6) and, with Ugarte injured, needed that deep screen. They paid £70m for Baleba — a Box-to-Box. The £22m player Brighton signed is the actual Anchor 6, grades higher, and, on the tape-measure, looks far more like the man United lost.
| Player | Height | Weight | Archetype |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chema Andrés | 190 cm | 82 kg | Anchor 6 |
| Casemiro | 185 cm | 84 kg | Anchor 6 |
| Carlos Baleba | 179 cm | 73 kg | Box-to-Box |
Chema is 11cm taller and 9kg heavier than Baleba — and taller than Casemiro. The imposing screen-the-defence frame is the one Baleba does not have.
At 190cm and 82kg, Chema is taller than Casemiro and a full 11cm above Baleba. If the brief was to replace the physical, aerially dominant, back-four-shielding profile Casemiro embodied, Chema mirrors it far more closely than the smaller, quicker Baleba. Same archetype, closer frame, higher grade, a third of the fee — for United, it is an uncomfortable comparison, even allowing for the caveats below.
Where the data says pump the brakes
The counter-case is real, and Brighton will know it better than anyone. The sample is small and unproven. Chema's numbers come from 1,327 rotation minutes on a possession-heavy Stuttgart side (57% average) that shields its midfielders in structured build-up — a long way from anchoring a Premier League and European season at 21. The eye-catching 100% dribble success is a small-sample artefact (a handful of attempts), and his Ball Carry composite (2.8, below average) confirms he rarely drives with the ball.
That is also why the "United should have bought him" line has a ceiling. United paid up for certainty — a Premier-League-proven 22-year-old with a resale ceiling — not a projection. Brighton, whose entire model is buying projections and selling certainties, are the natural home for a £22m bet on a 21-year-old. This is exactly the kind of gap in the market their recruitment is built to exploit.
Chema Andrés
Carlos Baleba
Casemiro
For the other side of this deal — Baleba as United's Casemiro replacement, and whether Lewis Hall upgrades Luke Shaw — see our Manchester United transfer targets breakdown.
Brighton banked £70m and bought a higher-graded profile for £22m
On the composites, Brighton have turned a £70m sale into a £22m signing who grades higher (6.9 vs 6.3), defends better (elite 5.6), and — at 190cm — brings the anchoring frame the Premier League rewards. That it is a different archetype to Baleba is the point: Brighton didn't replace a Box-to-Box, they upgraded the six.
The catch is the one that always separates £22m from £70m: minutes, level and certainty. Chema is a 1,327-minute projection; Baleba is proven. But if the model is even close to right, Brighton have once again sold the finished article and bought the better one before anyone else noticed — while United paid a premium for the profile they let go.
The Bottom Line
Chema Andrés is a genuine coup on the numbers: a same-archetype, higher-graded, physically imposing anchor for less than a third of what Brighton banked for Baleba, with Real Madrid pocketing half the fee for good measure. He is unproven, and £70m buys United certainty a £22m Bundesliga rotation player cannot. But the composite data is blunt — Brighton sold the more expensive player and bought the better-rated one, and the Spaniard is a name to circle whether or not he ever makes United regret the difference.
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