Transfer Analysis

Kerim-Sam Alajbegović: From Leverkusen's Academy to Juventus, and What the Data Says So Far

• By Scout52• 10 min read

With Juventus a goal down in Cagliari on Sunday 11 October 2026, Luciano Spalletti sent on Kerim-Sam Alajbegović at half-time. Thirty-six minutes later the 19-year-old made the pass for Randal Kolo Muani's equaliser, and the game finished 1-1. Juventus paid Bayer Leverkusen €30m for him in August. This is the full story so far: the academy years in Cologne and Leverkusen, the season at Red Bull Salzburg that made his name, a World Cup goal at 18, and what the Scout52 data says about how his game is moving across to Serie A.

How to read this: Tier 1 benchmarked (top-five European leagues), league match data up to and including 11/10/2026, league-only. Composites are positional benchmarks out of 10 against attackers in the same tier (9+ Elite, 7.5+ Good, 5+ Above Avg, 2.5+ Average, 1+ Below Avg, under 1 Poor). The Juventus sample is small: 274 Serie A minutes, so his 26/27 archetype reads "Needs 600 mins" (the model only assigns an archetype from 600 league minutes). His 2025/26 Salzburg season (1,913 minutes) is benchmarked against the Austrian Bundesliga, which is Tier 2, not Tier 1; where we compare it with Serie A we use the model's Tier 1 translation of each composite.
Scout52 spotlight for Kerim-Sam Alajbegović, Juventus, Serie A 26/27, attacker, age 19, Bosnia and Herzegovina, 5 league apps, 274 minutes. Scout52 Score 5.7, archetype Needs 600 mins, vs Tier 1. Defensive 1.2 (Below Avg for attackers), Chance Creation 8.4 (Good, top 25% U21), Goal Threat 1.5 (Below Avg), Ball Carry 6.7 (Above Avg), Passing 9.5 (Elite, top 25% U21), Duels 1.0 (Below Avg). 0 goals, 1 assist, average rating 6.80; 0.00 goals per 90, 0.33 assists per 90, 1.6 key passes per 90, 38% shot accuracy, 50% dribbles won, 41% duels won.
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović (Juventus, 19): S52 5.7 on 274 Serie A minutes. Passing 9.5 and Chance Creation 8.4 lead; Goal Threat 1.5 is the gap.

Cologne, Köln and the Leverkusen academy

Alajbegović was born in Cologne on 21 September 2007. He started at his hometown club, 1. FC Köln, where he spent eight years in the youth ranks before moving across the Rhineland to Bayer Leverkusen's academy in 2021.

At Leverkusen he became one of the most productive young attackers in Germany. Bayer 04's own record puts him at 38 goals and 19 assists in 78 matches for their under-19s. He was playing U19 Bundesliga football at 16, scoring twice in three appearances in 2023/24, and in 2024/25 he was a regular, with 13 league goals in 24 appearances (22 of them starts) as Leverkusen reached the German U19 final, where they lost to Köln. He signed his first professional contract in January 2025.

What he did not get was a first-team game. Leverkusen confirmed that he left without playing a competitive match for the senior side. That shaped everything that followed.

Salzburg: the season that made his name

In July 2025, at 17, he joined Red Bull Salzburg for a reported €2m, with Leverkusen keeping a buy-back clause. He made his debut on 23 July 2025 in a Champions League qualifier against Brann, scored his first league goal against Grazer AK on 9 August, and signed a contract extension to 2029 in September.

By the end of the season he had 44 appearances and 13 goals in all competitions. In the Austrian Bundesliga alone he played 28 games (22 starts) and 1,913 minutes, with nine goals and three assists and an average match rating of 7.30. He also scored twice and made one assist in 395 minutes of Europa League football.

Scout52 spotlight for Kerim-Sam Alajbegović, RB Salzburg, Austrian Bundesliga 25/26, attacker, age 18, 28 league apps, 1,913 minutes. Scout52 Score 9.0, archetype Elite Inside Forward, vs Tier 2. Defensive 6.8 (Above Avg, Tier 1 translation Average), Chance Creation 7.8 (Good, top 25% U21, Tier 1 Above Avg), Goal Threat 8.7 (Good, top 25% U21, Tier 1 Above Avg), Ball Carry 9.5 (Elite, top 25% U21, Tier 1 Good), Passing 9.6 (Elite, top 10% U21, Tier 1 Good), Duels 7.7 (Good, top 25% U21, Tier 1 Above Avg). 9 goals, 3 assists, average rating 7.30; 0.42 goals per 90, 0.14 assists per 90, 1.8 key passes per 90, 61% shot accuracy, 48% dribbles won, 55% duels won.
2025/26 at RB Salzburg: S52 9.0 and an Elite Inside Forward against Tier 2 attackers. The "T1" line under each bar is the model's Tier 1 translation.

The Scout52 model graded that season at 9.0, with an Elite Inside Forward archetype (archetypes describe how a player plays, not the position on the team sheet). Five of his six composites were Good or Elite against Tier 2 attackers, and his Passing (9.6) was in the top 10% for under-21 attackers at that level.

That 9.0 needs reading carefully. It is benchmarked against the Austrian league, not the top five. The model also translates each composite to what it would mean against Tier 1 attackers, and that is the fairer starting point for Serie A:

Composite2025/26 Salzburg
(vs Tier 2)
Translated
to Tier 1
2026/27 Juventus
(vs Tier 1, 274 mins)
Change vs
translation
Passing9.68.69.5+0.9
Chance Creation7.85.48.4+3.0
Ball Carry9.58.76.7-2.0
Goal Threat8.77.01.5-5.5
Defensive6.84.51.2-3.3
Duels7.75.61.0-4.6

Green = at or above his Tier 1 translation, amber = below it but still Above Avg, red = well below. The Juventus column comes from 274 minutes and will move quickly.

Translated, Salzburg's Elite season becomes a Good passer and ball-carrier (8.6 and 8.7) with Above Avg goal threat (7.0). That is still a strong profile for an 18-year-old against top-five-league attackers, and it is the version of him Juventus paid for.

Bosnia and Herzegovina: a World Cup goal at 18

Born in Germany, Alajbegović has represented Bosnia and Herzegovina since under-15 level, and captained the under-17s. He made his senior debut on 6 September 2025 in a World Cup qualifier away to San Marino, and scored in a 6-0 win.

The spring of 2026 made him a national story. In the play-off semi-final in Cardiff on 26 March, his corner set up Edin Džeko's equaliser against Wales, and he scored the decisive kick in the shoot-out. Bosnia then beat Italy on penalties in the final in Zenica on 31 March to reach the World Cup.

At the tournament he came off the bench against Canada, started against Switzerland and then scored the opener in a 3-1 win over Qatar on 24 June, a strike from outside the box that made him, as Bundesliga.com reported, the youngest player to score from outside the box at a World Cup since records began in 1966, younger than Kylian Mbappé was in 2018. He played all 90 minutes of the 2-0 round-of-32 defeat to the United States. In all, he played 277 minutes at the finals. He added a Nations League goal against Sweden in Zenica on 2 October 2026 and has 17 senior caps and three goals.

The buy-back and the €30m move to Juventus

Leverkusen activated their buy-back clause in March 2026 and gave him a five-year contract from 1 July. The figure was reported at €6m by kicker and €8m by Sky, so treat it as somewhere in that range. On 2 August 2026, without having played a competitive game for their first team, he was sold again: Leverkusen agreed his sale to Juventus, with Simon Rolfes, their managing director for sport, saying competition for his positions was "very fierce".

Juventus's own club statement set out the terms: a fee of €30m, payable over four financial years, plus up to €5m in bonuses tied to sporting targets and €2m in ancillary costs, on a contract to 30 June 2031. On reported figures, Leverkusen sold him for around €2m, bought him back for between €6m and €8m, and sold him on for €30m inside 13 months.

Juventus so far: 274 minutes, three starts

He was an unused substitute in the opening league game at Frosinone, then made his debut off the bench in the 2-0 home win over Parma on 29 August. Spalletti started him in the next three: as one of the three behind Kolo Muani in a 4-2-3-1 against AC Milan (1-1) and at Sassuolo (a 3-2 defeat, where he had four shots and three on target), and as one of two players behind the striker in a 3-4-2-1 in the 2-0 win over Atalanta, when Pape Matar Sarr replaced him at half-time. He also scored his first Juventus goal in the Europa League against NEC on 17 September.

Cagliari was his best league game yet. He replaced Weston McKennie at half-time with Juventus trailing to Daniel Maldini's 20th-minute goal, completed 27 of his 28 passes, made four key passes and set up Kolo Muani on 81 minutes. His 7.7 match rating was his highest in Serie A. For the full match and Kolo Muani's side of it, see Kolo Muani Rescued Juventus in Cagliari. Does the Data Back a €38m Permanent Deal?

One half moved the numbers a long way

Those 45 minutes are worth being honest about. Before Cagliari, across 229 league minutes, his Scout52 Score was 3.1 and his Chance Creation 0.3: he had one key pass all season. The four key passes and the assist in Cagliari took the S52 to 5.7 and Chance Creation to 8.4. That is the nature of a 274-minute sample. It does not make the Cagliari performance less real, but it does mean one strong half explains most of the current score.

Per 90 (league)2025/26 Salzburg2026/27 Juventus
Minutes1,913274
Goals / Assists0.42 / 0.140.00 / 0.33
Shots2.632.63
Shot accuracy61%38%
Key passes1.791.64
Pass accuracy80%88%
Dribbles won2.40 (48%)1.64 (50%)
Duels won6.77 (55%)2.96 (41%)
Tackles + interceptions1.980.33

Green = the better of the two seasons where the gap is meaningful, red = the weaker. Salzburg figures are against Tier 2 opposition; Juventus figures come from 274 minutes.

What has travelled

Passing. This is the clearest sign. His Passing composite is 9.5 against Tier 1 attackers, Elite and in the top 25% for under-21s, and higher than his Salzburg season translates to (8.6). His pass accuracy has gone up from 80% to 88% against better opposition. He is keeping the ball cleanly in a Juventus side that wants control.

Ball Carry. At 6.7 it is below the 8.7 his Salzburg season translates to, but it is Above Avg for a Tier 1 attacker and he is winning half of his dribbles, the same rate as in Austria. He is taking players on less often (1.64 dribbles won per 90 against 2.40), which fits a player still finding his place in a new team.

Chance creation, with a caveat. 8.4 is Good and in the top 25% for under-21 attackers, and his key passes per 90 are close to his Salzburg rate. But almost all of it comes from one half in Cagliari, so it needs more games before it means much.

What has not, yet

Goal Threat. This is the biggest gap. He is shooting exactly as often as he did at Salzburg (2.63 per 90), but three of his eight league shots have hit the target and none has gone in, so his Goal Threat is 1.5 against a translated 7.0. Nine league goals in Austria says the finishing is there; in Serie A it has not shown yet.

Duels and defending. At Salzburg he won 55% of his duels and 6.77 per 90, and his Defensive composite of 6.8 was part of what made him Elite. At Juventus he is winning 41% of duels and making 0.33 tackles and interceptions per 90, so both composites are Below Avg. This is the usual step for a teenager moving up a level, against stronger and more experienced players, and the one to watch over the next few months.

For context inside the squad, the comparison in our Kolo Muani piece shows Francisco Conceição (409 minutes, S52 7.9) and Nicolás González (288 minutes, 8.2) both grading higher than Alajbegović so far, with Edon Zhegrova (123 minutes) also competing for the same attacking places. Minutes will not come automatically. For how the rest of the summer's big moves have started, see Summer Signings, Early Verdict: How the 19 Transfers We Analysed Have Started.

Needs 600 mins

2026/27 Juventus

Serie A · Tier 1 · Age 19
Scout52 Score5.7
Passing9.5 (Elite)
Chance Creation8.4 (Good)
Goal Threat1.5 (Below Avg)
Minutes274 (3 starts)
Elite Inside Forward

2025/26 RB Salzburg

Austrian Bundesliga · Tier 2 · Age 18
Scout52 Score9.0 (vs Tier 2)
Passing (T1 translation)8.6 (Good)
Ball Carry (T1 translation)8.7 (Good)
Goal Threat (T1 translation)7.0 (Above Avg)
Minutes1,913 (9 goals)
Recruitment Insight

The passing has arrived. The goals have not, yet

Juventus have signed a teenager whose one full senior league season graded Elite at Tier 2 level and still reads as a Good passer and ball-carrier when translated to the top five. Five league appearances in, the parts of his game that depend on technique and decisions are holding up: Passing 9.5, pass accuracy up to 88%, and half his dribbles won.

The parts that depend on strength and end product have dropped: Goal Threat 1.5, Duels 1.0, and no league goal from eight shots. At 274 minutes he is 326 short of an archetype, and one half in Cagliari explains much of his current 5.7. The fair read is a 19-year-old whose ball-playing has travelled straight away, and whose scoring and physical side are still adjusting to the level.

The Bottom Line

Alajbegović's path has been unusually fast: no first-team minutes at Leverkusen, then 44 games and 13 goals at Salzburg, a World Cup goal at 18, and a €30m move to Juventus inside 13 months of leaving Germany. The data supports the excitement around him in one clear area. His passing has carried straight into Serie A, at a higher level than his Salzburg season predicted. What it does not show yet is the goal threat and physical edge that made him Elite in Austria. With 274 minutes and one standout half behind his current score, the next few months of minutes will tell Juventus much more than his first five appearances have.

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